Colorado Rockies vs New York Mets
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Mickey Moniak DH
- 2 Hunter Goodman C
- 3 TJ Rumfield 1B
- 4 Tyler Freeman 2B
- 5 Troy Johnston RF
- 6 Kyle Karros 3B
- 7 Ezequiel Tovar SS
- 8 Jake McCarthy LF
- 9 Brenton Doyle CF
- 1 Bo Bichette 3B
- 2 Juan Soto DH
- 3 Francisco Alvarez C
- 4 Brett Baty RF
- 5 Mark Vientos 1B
- 6 Marcus Semien 2B
- 7 Carson Benge LF
- 8 Tyrone Taylor CF
- 9 Ronny Mauricio SS
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| COL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| NYM | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade C / D+ entering this matchup.
Recent form
Season series: 4-2 with COL listed first across 8 prior meetings.
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost −0.01 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.74 vs actual lineup 3.75
- Player execution +0.25 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 3.75 projection by 0.25 (scored 4)
- Game variance +0.26 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Tovar 2-for-4 from the 7-hole
- Manager lineup cost −0.01 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.94 vs actual lineup 4.95
- Player execution −1.95 R/G Players fell 1.95 short of the lineup's 4.95 projection (scored 3)
- Game variance −1.94 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Mauricio 2-for-3 from the 9-hole
Optimal lineups projected 3.7 – 4.9 — actual was 4 – 3.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.