Cleveland Guardians vs Toronto Blue Jays
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Daniel Schneemann 2B
- 2 Chase DeLauter RF
- 3 José Ramírez 3B
- 4 Kyle Manzardo 1B
- 5 Rhys Hoskins DH
- 6 George Valera LF
- 7 Angel Martínez CF
- 8 Bo Naylor C
- 9 Brayan Rocchio SS
- 1 Nathan Lukes RF
- 2 Ernie Clement 2B
- 3 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 1B
- 4 Jesús Sánchez LF
- 5 Lenyn Sosa DH
- 6 Daulton Varsho CF
- 7 Kazuma Okamoto 3B
- 8 Andrés Giménez SS
- 9 Tyler Heineman C
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLE | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 |
| TOR | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade C+ / B entering this matchup.
Recent form
Season series: 1-2 with CLE listed first across 3 prior meetings.
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost +0.04 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.77 vs actual lineup 4.73
- Player execution +3.27 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 4.73 projection by 3.27 (scored 8)
- Game variance +3.23 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Martínez HR from the 7-hole
- Manager lineup cost −0.05 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.01 vs actual lineup 3.06
- Player execution +2.94 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 3.06 projection by 2.94 (scored 6)
- Game variance +2.99 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Okamoto HR from the 7-hole
Optimal lineups projected 4.8 – 3.0 — actual was 8 – 6.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.