New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Amed Rosario 3B
- 2 Aaron Judge RF
- 3 Ben Rice 1B
- 4 Giancarlo Stanton DH
- 5 Cody Bellinger CF
- 6 Randal Grichuk LF
- 7 Jazz Chisholm Jr. 2B
- 8 José Caballero SS
- 9 Austin Wells C
- 1 Roman Anthony LF
- 2 Willson Contreras 1B
- 3 Masataka Yoshida DH
- 4 Wilyer Abreu RF
- 5 Trevor Story SS
- 6 Ceddanne Rafaela CF
- 7 Marcelo Mayer 2B
- 8 Caleb Durbin 3B
- 9 Carlos Narváez C
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYY | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| BOS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade C+ / C- entering this matchup.
Recent form
Season series: 3-0 with NYY listed first across 3 prior meetings.
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost −0.02 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.40 vs actual lineup 3.42
- Player execution +0.58 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 3.42 projection by 0.58 (scored 4)
- Game variance +0.60 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Rice 0-for-4 batting 3rd
- Manager lineup cost +0.08 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.87 vs actual lineup 4.80
- Player execution −4.80 R/G Players fell 4.80 short of the lineup's 4.80 projection (scored 0)
- Game variance −4.87 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Anthony 0-for-3 batting 1st
Optimal lineups projected 3.4 – 4.9 — actual was 4 – 0.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.