Minnesota Twins vs New York Mets
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Byron Buxton CF
- 2 Trevor Larnach LF
- 3 Josh Bell DH
- 4 Ryan Jeffers C
- 5 Kody Clemens 1B
- 6 Luke Keaschall 2B
- 7 Matt Wallner RF
- 8 Royce Lewis 3B
- 9 Brooks Lee SS
- 1 Marcus Semien 2B
- 2 Francisco Lindor SS
- 3 Luis Robert Jr. CF
- 4 Bo Bichette 3B
- 5 MJ Melendez DH
- 6 Francisco Alvarez C
- 7 Brett Baty RF
- 8 Mark Vientos 1B
- 9 Carson Benge LF
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIN | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 |
| NYM | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade B / D+ entering this matchup.
Recent form
Season series: 1-2 with MIN listed first across 3 prior meetings.
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost −0.05 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.14 vs actual lineup 3.19
- Player execution +1.81 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 3.19 projection by 1.81 (scored 5)
- Game variance +1.86 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Jeffers 0-for-3 batting 4th
- Manager lineup cost +0.18 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.91 vs actual lineup 4.73
- Player execution −1.73 R/G Players fell 1.73 short of the lineup's 4.73 projection (scored 3)
- Game variance −1.91 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Semien 0-for-3 batting 1st
Optimal lineups projected 3.1 – 4.9 — actual was 5 – 3.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.