Atlanta Braves vs Washington Nationals
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Ronald Acuña RF
- 2 Drake Baldwin DH
- 3 Ozzie Albies 2B
- 4 Matt Olson 1B
- 5 Austin Riley 3B
- 6 Mauricio Dubón SS
- 7 Michael Harris CF
- 8 Jonah Heim C
- 9 Eli White LF
- 1 James Wood RF
- 2 Luis García 1B
- 3 Jacob Young CF
- 4 CJ Abrams SS
- 5 Daylen Lile LF
- 6 Nasim Nuñez 2B
- 7 Jorbit Vivas 3B
- 8 José Tena DH
- 9 Drew Millas C
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATL | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| WSH | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 11 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade C+ / C entering this matchup.
Recent form
Season series: 3-1 with ATL listed first across 4 prior meetings.
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost +0.00 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.20 vs actual lineup 3.19
- Player execution +0.81 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 3.19 projection by 0.81 (scored 4)
- Game variance +0.80 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Olson 0-for-4 batting 4th
- Manager lineup cost +0.04 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.86 vs actual lineup 4.82
- Player execution +6.18 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 4.82 projection by 6.18 (scored 11)
- Game variance +6.14 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Mead HR from the 8-hole
Optimal lineups projected 3.2 – 4.9 — actual was 4 – 11.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.