Toronto Blue Jays vs Los Angeles Angels
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Davis Schneider LF
- 2 Ernie Clement SS
- 3 Vladimir Guerrero 1B
- 4 Eloy Jiménez DH
- 5 Kazuma Okamoto 3B
- 6 Lenyn Sosa 2B
- 7 Daulton Varsho CF
- 8 Myles Straw RF
- 9 Tyler Heineman C
- 1 Zach Neto SS
- 2 Mike Trout CF
- 3 Nolan Schanuel 1B
- 4 Jorge Soler DH
- 5 Yoán Moncada 3B
- 6 Jo Adell RF
- 7 Josh Lowe LF
- 8 Logan O'Hoppe C
- 9 Adam Frazier 2B
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOR | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 |
| LAA | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade B / C entering this matchup.
Recent form
Season series: 3-1 with TOR listed first across 4 prior meetings.
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost +0.01 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.95 vs actual lineup 3.94
- Player execution +1.06 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 3.94 projection by 1.06 (scored 5)
- Game variance +1.05 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Lineup spots out of order vs season production
- Manager lineup cost −0.02 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.12 vs actual lineup 3.14
- Player execution −1.14 R/G Players fell 1.14 short of the lineup's 3.14 projection (scored 2)
- Game variance −1.12 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Lineup spots out of order vs season production
Optimal lineups projected 4.0 – 3.1 — actual was 5 – 2.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.