Detroit Tigers vs Boston Red Sox
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Jahmai Jones DH
- 2 Gleyber Torres 2B
- 3 Matt Vierling CF
- 4 Dillon Dingler C
- 5 Riley Greene LF
- 6 Wenceel Pérez RF
- 7 Spencer Torkelson 1B
- 8 Hao-Yu Lee 3B
- 9 Javier Báez SS
- 1 Roman Anthony LF
- 2 Andruw Monasterio 1B
- 3 Willson Contreras DH
- 4 Trevor Story SS
- 5 Wilyer Abreu RF
- 6 Ceddanne Rafaela CF
- 7 Caleb Durbin 3B
- 8 Carlos Narváez C
- 9 Isiah Kiner-Falefa 2B
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DET | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
| BOS | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade C- / C- entering this matchup.
Recent form
Season series: 2-5 with DET listed first across 7 prior meetings.
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost +0.11 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.96 vs actual lineup 4.84
- Player execution +1.16 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 4.84 projection by 1.16 (scored 6)
- Game variance +1.04 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Báez 2-for-4 from the 9-hole
- Manager lineup cost +0.08 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.52 vs actual lineup 3.44
- Player execution −1.44 R/G Players fell 1.44 short of the lineup's 3.44 projection (scored 2)
- Game variance −1.52 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Anthony 0-for-3 batting 1st
Optimal lineups projected 5.0 – 3.5 — actual was 6 – 2.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.