New York Mets vs Chicago Cubs
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Carson Benge LF
- 2 Bo Bichette 3B
- 3 Francisco Lindor SS
- 4 Luis Robert CF
- 5 MJ Melendez DH
- 6 Mark Vientos 1B
- 7 Brett Baty RF
- 8 Marcus Semien 2B
- 9 Luis Torrens C
- 1 Nico Hoerner 2B
- 2 Michael Busch 1B
- 3 Alex Bregman 3B
- 4 Ian Happ LF
- 5 Seiya Suzuki RF
- 6 Moisés Ballesteros DH
- 7 Carson Kelly C
- 8 Pete Crow-Armstrong CF
- 9 Dansby Swanson SS
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYM | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| CHC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade D+ / C entering this matchup.
Recent form
Season series: 0-3 with NYM listed first across 3 prior meetings.
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost +0.34 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.96 vs actual lineup 4.62
- Player execution −3.62 R/G Players fell 3.62 short of the lineup's 4.62 projection (scored 1)
- Game variance −3.96 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Bichette 0-for-4 batting 2nd
- Manager lineup cost +0.12 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.87 vs actual lineup 4.75
- Player execution −2.75 R/G Players fell 2.75 short of the lineup's 4.75 projection (scored 2)
- Game variance −2.87 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Busch 0-for-4 batting 2nd
Optimal lineups projected 5.0 – 4.9 — actual was 1 – 2.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.