Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Ronald Acuña Jr. RF
- 2 Drake Baldwin DH
- 3 Ozzie Albies 2B
- 4 Matt Olson 1B
- 5 Austin Riley 3B
- 6 Mauricio Dubón LF
- 7 Eli White CF
- 8 Jonah Heim C
- 9 Jorge Mateo SS
- 1 Trea Turner SS
- 2 Kyle Schwarber DH
- 3 Bryce Harper 1B
- 4 Adolis García RF
- 5 J.T. Realmuto C
- 6 Alec Bohm 3B
- 7 Felix Reyes LF
- 8 Edmundo Sosa 2B
- 9 Brandon Marsh CF
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATL | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| PHI | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade C+ / C- entering this matchup.
Recent form
Season series: 5-1 with ATL listed first across 6 prior meetings.
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost +0.03 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.16 vs actual lineup 3.12
- Player execution −0.12 R/G Players fell 0.12 short of the lineup's 3.12 projection (scored 3)
- Game variance −0.16 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Heim 2-for-4 from the 8-hole
- Manager lineup cost +0.04 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 2.85 vs actual lineup 2.81
- Player execution −1.81 R/G Players fell 1.81 short of the lineup's 2.81 projection (scored 1)
- Game variance −1.85 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Reyes HR from the 7-hole
Optimal lineups projected 3.2 – 2.9 — actual was 3 – 1.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.