San Francisco Giants vs Washington Nationals
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Willy Adames SS
- 2 Luis Arraez 2B
- 3 Matt Chapman 3B
- 4 Rafael Devers 1B
- 5 Casey Schmitt DH
- 6 Jung Hoo Lee RF
- 7 Heliot Ramos LF
- 8 Daniel Susac C
- 9 Drew Gilbert CF
- 1 James Wood RF
- 2 Brady House 3B
- 3 Luis García Jr. 1B
- 4 CJ Abrams SS
- 5 Joey Wiemer CF
- 6 Daylen Lile LF
- 7 Nasim Nuñez 2B
- 8 José Tena DH
- 9 Keibert Ruiz C
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SF | 0 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 |
| WSH | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade B- / C entering this matchup.
Recent form
Season series: 2-1 with SF listed first across 3 prior meetings.
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost −0.02 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.79 vs actual lineup 4.81
- Player execution +5.19 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 4.81 projection by 5.19 (scored 10)
- Game variance +5.21 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Ramos HR from the 7-hole
- Manager lineup cost +0.10 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.89 vs actual lineup 4.79
- Player execution +0.21 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 4.79 projection by 0.21 (scored 5)
- Game variance +0.11 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
House 0-for-5 batting 2nd
Optimal lineups projected 4.8 – 4.9 — actual was 10 – 5.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.