Los Angeles Dodgers vs Colorado Rockies
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Shohei Ohtani DH
- 2 Kyle Tucker RF
- 3 Will Smith C
- 4 Freddie Freeman 1B
- 5 Teoscar Hernández LF
- 6 Max Muncy 3B
- 7 Andy Pages CF
- 8 Hyeseong Kim SS
- 9 Alex Freeland 2B
- 1 Edouard Julien 2B
- 2 Mickey Moniak DH
- 3 TJ Rumfield 1B
- 4 Troy Johnston RF
- 5 Ezequiel Tovar SS
- 6 Brett Sullivan C
- 7 Brenton Doyle CF
- 8 Kyle Karros 3B
- 9 Jake McCarthy LF
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAD | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| COL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade B / C entering this matchup.
Recent form
Season series: 2-2 with LAD listed first across 4 prior meetings.
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost −0.06 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.32 vs actual lineup 3.38
- Player execution +3.62 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 3.38 projection by 3.62 (scored 7)
- Game variance +3.68 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Lineup spots out of order vs season production
- Manager lineup cost +0.10 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.10 vs actual lineup 2.99
- Player execution −1.99 R/G Players fell 1.99 short of the lineup's 2.99 projection (scored 1)
- Game variance −2.10 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Julien 0-for-3 batting 1st
Optimal lineups projected 3.3 – 3.1 — actual was 7 – 1.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.