Milwaukee Brewers vs Miami Marlins
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Sal Frelick RF
- 2 William Contreras C
- 3 Brice Turang 2B
- 4 Gary Sánchez DH
- 5 Jake Bauers 1B
- 6 Luis Rengifo 3B
- 7 Garrett Mitchell CF
- 8 Greg Jones LF
- 9 David Hamilton SS
- 1 Jakob Marsee CF
- 2 Xavier Edwards 2B
- 3 Agustín Ramírez C
- 4 Liam Hicks DH
- 5 Otto Lopez SS
- 6 Owen Caissie RF
- 7 Connor Norby 1B
- 8 Javier Sanoja LF
- 9 Graham Pauley 3B
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 |
| MIA | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade B- / C+ entering this matchup.
Recent form
Season series: 2-1 with MIL listed first across 3 prior meetings.
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost −0.08 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.01 vs actual lineup 3.09
- Player execution +3.91 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 3.09 projection by 3.91 (scored 7)
- Game variance +3.99 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Turang 0-for-4 batting 3rd
- Manager lineup cost +0.09 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.53 vs actual lineup 3.44
- Player execution +1.56 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 3.44 projection by 1.56 (scored 5)
- Game variance +1.47 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Marsee 0-for-4 batting 1st
Optimal lineups projected 3.0 – 3.5 — actual was 7 – 5.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.