Kansas City Royals vs Detroit Tigers
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Maikel Garcia 3B
- 2 Bobby Witt Jr. SS
- 3 Vinnie Pasquantino 1B
- 4 Salvador Perez DH
- 5 Carter Jensen C
- 6 Jonathan India 2B
- 7 Jac Caglianone RF
- 8 Michael Massey LF
- 9 Kyle Isbel CF
- 1 Gleyber Torres 2B
- 2 Kevin McGonigle 3B
- 3 Jahmai Jones DH
- 4 Dillon Dingler C
- 5 Riley Greene LF
- 6 Matt Vierling CF
- 7 Spencer Torkelson 1B
- 8 Wenceel Pérez RF
- 9 Javier Báez SS
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 9 |
| DET | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade C / C- entering this matchup.
Recent form
Season series: 1-3 with KC listed first across 4 prior meetings.
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost +0.01 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.43 vs actual lineup 3.42
- Player execution +5.58 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 3.42 projection by 5.58 (scored 9)
- Game variance +5.57 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Lineup spots out of order vs season production
- Manager lineup cost −0.04 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.81 vs actual lineup 3.85
- Player execution +6.15 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 3.85 projection by 6.15 (scored 10)
- Game variance +6.19 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Torkelson 2-for-4 from the 7-hole
Optimal lineups projected 3.4 – 3.8 — actual was 9 – 10.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.