Baltimore Orioles vs Cleveland Guardians
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Taylor Ward LF
- 2 Gunnar Henderson DH
- 3 Pete Alonso 1B
- 4 Johnathan Rodríguez RF
- 5 Samuel Basallo C
- 6 Jeremiah Jackson 2B
- 7 Coby Mayo 3B
- 8 Leody Taveras CF
- 9 Blaze Alexander SS
- 1 Steven Kwan CF
- 2 Chase DeLauter DH
- 3 José Ramírez 3B
- 4 Kyle Manzardo 1B
- 5 George Valera RF
- 6 Angel Martínez LF
- 7 Juan Brito 2B
- 8 Austin Hedges C
- 9 Brayan Rocchio SS
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BAL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| CLE | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade C+ / C+ entering this matchup.
Recent form
Season series: 1-3 with BAL listed first across 4 prior meetings.
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost +0.03 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 2.54 vs actual lineup 2.51
- Player execution −0.51 R/G Players fell 0.51 short of the lineup's 2.51 projection (scored 2)
- Game variance −0.54 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Henderson 0-for-3 batting 2nd
- Manager lineup cost −0.02 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.97 vs actual lineup 4.00
- Player execution +0.00 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 4.00 projection by 0.00 (scored 4)
- Game variance +0.03 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
DeLauter 0-for-3 batting 2nd
Optimal lineups projected 2.5 – 4.0 — actual was 2 – 4.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.