San Francisco Giants vs Cincinnati Reds
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Luis Arraez 2B
- 2 Willy Adames SS
- 3 Rafael Devers 1B
- 4 Matt Chapman 3B
- 5 Jung Hoo Lee RF
- 6 Will Brennan LF
- 7 Casey Schmitt DH
- 8 Drew Gilbert CF
- 9 Patrick Bailey C
- 1 TJ Friedl CF
- 2 Matt McLain 2B
- 3 Elly De La Cruz SS
- 4 Sal Stewart 1B
- 5 Eugenio Suárez DH
- 6 Spencer Steer LF
- 7 Rece Hinds RF
- 8 Ke'Bryan Hayes 3B
- 9 P.J. Higgins C
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SF | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| CIN | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade B- / B- entering this matchup.
Recent form
Season series: 1-2 with SF listed first across 3 prior meetings.
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost −0.07 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 2.75 vs actual lineup 2.82
- Player execution +0.18 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 2.82 projection by 0.18 (scored 3)
- Game variance +0.25 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Arraez 0-for-4 batting 1st
- Manager lineup cost −0.04 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.10 vs actual lineup 3.14
- Player execution −3.14 R/G Players fell 3.14 short of the lineup's 3.14 projection (scored 0)
- Game variance −3.10 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
McLain 0-for-3 batting 2nd
Optimal lineups projected 2.8 – 3.1 — actual was 3 – 0.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.