Kansas City Royals vs Detroit Tigers
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Maikel Garcia 3B
- 2 Bobby Witt SS
- 3 Vinnie Pasquantino 1B
- 4 Salvador Perez C
- 5 Carter Jensen DH
- 6 Michael Massey 2B
- 7 Jac Caglianone RF
- 8 Lane Thomas LF
- 9 Kyle Isbel CF
- 1 Kevin McGonigle SS
- 2 Gleyber Torres 2B
- 3 Colt Keith DH
- 4 Riley Greene LF
- 5 Spencer Torkelson 1B
- 6 Kerry Carpenter RF
- 7 Zach McKinstry 3B
- 8 Javier Báez CF
- 9 Jake Rogers C
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| DET | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade C / C- entering this matchup.
Recent form
Season series: 1-3 with KC listed first across 4 prior meetings.
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost +0.12 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.77 vs actual lineup 4.65
- Player execution −3.65 R/G Players fell 3.65 short of the lineup's 4.65 projection (scored 1)
- Game variance −3.77 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Garcia 0-for-4 batting 1st
- Manager lineup cost +0.09 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.24 vs actual lineup 3.15
- Player execution −1.15 R/G Players fell 1.15 short of the lineup's 3.15 projection (scored 2)
- Game variance −1.24 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Pérez HR from the 7-hole
Optimal lineups projected 4.8 – 3.2 — actual was 1 – 2.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.