Kansas City Royals vs Detroit Tigers
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Maikel Garcia 3B
- 2 Bobby Witt Jr. SS
- 3 Lane Thomas CF
- 4 Salvador Perez C
- 5 Vinnie Pasquantino 1B
- 6 Starling Marte RF
- 7 Jonathan India 2B
- 8 Carter Jensen DH
- 9 Isaac Collins LF
- 1 Gleyber Torres DH
- 2 Matt Vierling CF
- 3 Kevin McGonigle 3B
- 4 Dillon Dingler C
- 5 Wenceel Pérez RF
- 6 Riley Greene LF
- 7 Spencer Torkelson 1B
- 8 Javier Báez SS
- 9 Zach McKinstry 2B
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KC | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| DET | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade C / C- entering this matchup.
Recent form
Season series: 1-3 with KC listed first across 4 prior meetings.
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost −0.01 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.32 vs actual lineup 4.32
- Player execution −3.32 R/G Players fell 3.32 short of the lineup's 4.32 projection (scored 1)
- Game variance −3.32 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Lineup spots out of order vs season production
- Manager lineup cost +0.10 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.50 vs actual lineup 4.40
- Player execution −2.40 R/G Players fell 2.40 short of the lineup's 4.40 projection (scored 2)
- Game variance −2.50 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Torres 0-for-4 batting 1st
Optimal lineups projected 4.3 – 4.5 — actual was 1 – 2.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.