New York Mets vs Los Angeles Dodgers
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Francisco Lindor SS
- 2 Luis Robert Jr. CF
- 3 Jorge Polanco DH
- 4 Bo Bichette 3B
- 5 Francisco Alvarez C
- 6 Brett Baty RF
- 7 Mark Vientos 1B
- 8 Marcus Semien 2B
- 9 Carson Benge LF
- 1 Shohei Ohtani DH
- 2 Kyle Tucker RF
- 3 Will Smith C
- 4 Freddie Freeman 1B
- 5 Teoscar Hernández LF
- 6 Max Muncy 3B
- 7 Andy Pages CF
- 8 Hyeseong Kim SS
- 9 Alex Freeland 2B
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYM | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| LAD | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade D+ / B entering this matchup.
Recent form
Season series: 0-3 with NYM listed first across 3 prior meetings.
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost +0.12 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.31 vs actual lineup 3.19
- Player execution −2.19 R/G Players fell 2.19 short of the lineup's 3.19 projection (scored 1)
- Game variance −2.31 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Jr. 0-for-4 batting 2nd
- Manager lineup cost −0.05 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.29 vs actual lineup 3.33
- Player execution −1.33 R/G Players fell 1.33 short of the lineup's 3.33 projection (scored 2)
- Game variance −1.29 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Ohtani 0-for-3 batting 1st
Optimal lineups projected 3.3 – 3.3 — actual was 1 – 2.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.