Miami Marlins vs Atlanta Braves
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Jakob Marsee CF
- 2 Xavier Edwards 2B
- 3 Agustín Ramírez DH
- 4 Liam Hicks C
- 5 Otto Lopez SS
- 6 Owen Caissie RF
- 7 Connor Norby 1B
- 8 Heriberto Hernández LF
- 9 Graham Pauley 3B
- 1 Ronald Acuña Jr. RF
- 2 Drake Baldwin C
- 3 Matt Olson 1B
- 4 Austin Riley 3B
- 5 Mike Yastrzemski LF
- 6 Ozzie Albies 2B
- 7 Dominic Smith DH
- 8 Michael Harris II CF
- 9 Mauricio Dubón SS
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIA | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 |
| ATL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade C+ / C+ entering this matchup.
Recent form
Season series: 1-2 with MIA listed first across 3 prior meetings.
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost +0.02 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.87 vs actual lineup 3.85
- Player execution +6.15 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 3.85 projection by 6.15 (scored 10)
- Game variance +6.13 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Norby HR from the 7-hole
- Manager lineup cost −0.01 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.42 vs actual lineup 4.43
- Player execution −0.43 R/G Players fell 0.43 short of the lineup's 4.43 projection (scored 4)
- Game variance −0.42 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
II 2-for-3 from the 8-hole
Optimal lineups projected 3.9 – 4.4 — actual was 10 – 4.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.