Cleveland Guardians vs St. Louis Cardinals
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Steven Kwan LF
- 2 Angel Martínez RF
- 3 José Ramírez 3B
- 4 Rhys Hoskins 1B
- 5 David Fry DH
- 6 Daniel Schneemann CF
- 7 Juan Brito 2B
- 8 Austin Hedges C
- 9 Brayan Rocchio SS
- 1 JJ Wetherholt 2B
- 2 Iván Herrera DH
- 3 Alec Burleson 1B
- 4 Jordan Walker RF
- 5 Nolan Gorman 3B
- 6 Masyn Winn SS
- 7 Nathan Church LF
- 8 Pedro Pagés C
- 9 Victor Scott II CF
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLE | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 9 |
| STL | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade C+ / B- entering this matchup.
Recent form
Season series: 1-2 with CLE listed first across 3 prior meetings.
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost +0.12 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.34 vs actual lineup 4.22
- Player execution +4.78 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 4.22 projection by 4.78 (scored 9)
- Game variance +4.66 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Rocchio HR from the 9-hole
- Manager lineup cost −0.04 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.14 vs actual lineup 3.18
- Player execution −0.18 R/G Players fell 0.18 short of the lineup's 3.18 projection (scored 3)
- Game variance −0.14 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Lineup spots out of order vs season production
Optimal lineups projected 4.3 – 3.1 — actual was 9 – 3.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.