Washington Nationals vs Milwaukee Brewers
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 James Wood RF
- 2 Luis García Jr. 1B
- 3 Brady House DH
- 4 Daylen Lile LF
- 5 CJ Abrams SS
- 6 Jacob Young CF
- 7 Jorbit Vivas 3B
- 8 Drew Millas C
- 9 Nasim Nuñez 2B
- 1 Brice Turang 2B
- 2 William Contreras C
- 3 Christian Yelich DH
- 4 Garrett Mitchell CF
- 5 Jake Bauers 1B
- 6 Sal Frelick RF
- 7 Brandon Lockridge LF
- 8 David Hamilton 3B
- 9 Joey Ortiz SS
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WSH | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 8 |
| MIL | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade C / B- entering this matchup.
Recent form
Season series: 4-2 with WSH listed first across 6 prior meetings.
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost +0.16 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.86 vs actual lineup 3.70
- Player execution +4.30 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 3.70 projection by 4.30 (scored 8)
- Game variance +4.14 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Lineup spots out of order vs season production
- Manager lineup cost +0.03 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.72 vs actual lineup 4.69
- Player execution +1.31 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 4.69 projection by 1.31 (scored 6)
- Game variance +1.28 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Lineup spots out of order vs season production
Optimal lineups projected 3.9 – 4.7 — actual was 8 – 6.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.