Miami Marlins vs Detroit Tigers
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Jakob Marsee CF
- 2 Xavier Edwards 2B
- 3 Agustín Ramírez C
- 4 Liam Hicks DH
- 5 Otto Lopez SS
- 6 Owen Caissie RF
- 7 Connor Norby 1B
- 8 Graham Pauley 3B
- 9 Heriberto Hernandez LF
- 1 Kevin McGonigle SS
- 2 Wenceel Pérez RF
- 3 Colt Keith 3B
- 4 Dillon Dingler C
- 5 Riley Greene DH
- 6 Kerry Carpenter LF
- 7 Spencer Torkelson 1B
- 8 Zach McKinstry 2B
- 9 Matt Vierling CF
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIA | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| DET | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade C+ / C- entering this matchup.
Recent form
Season series: 0-3 with MIA listed first across 3 prior meetings.
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost −0.07 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.15 vs actual lineup 3.22
- Player execution −2.22 R/G Players fell 2.22 short of the lineup's 3.22 projection (scored 1)
- Game variance −2.15 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Marsee 0-for-4 batting 1st
- Manager lineup cost +0.00 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.21 vs actual lineup 3.22
- Player execution +2.78 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 3.22 projection by 2.78 (scored 6)
- Game variance +2.79 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Pérez 0-for-4 batting 2nd
Optimal lineups projected 3.1 – 3.2 — actual was 1 – 6.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.