Los Angeles Angels vs Cincinnati Reds
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Zach Neto SS
- 2 Mike Trout CF
- 3 Jo Adell RF
- 4 Jorge Soler DH
- 5 Nolan Schanuel 1B
- 6 Vaughn Grissom 2B
- 7 Logan O'Hoppe C
- 8 Yoán Moncada 3B
- 9 Bryce Teodosio LF
- 1 TJ Friedl CF
- 2 Spencer Steer LF
- 3 Elly De La Cruz SS
- 4 Sal Stewart 2B
- 5 Eugenio Suárez DH
- 6 Nathaniel Lowe 1B
- 7 Tyler Stephenson C
- 8 Noelvi Marte RF
- 9 Ke'Bryan Hayes 3B
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAA | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| CIN | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade C / B- entering this matchup.
Recent form
Season series: 2-1 with LAA listed first across 3 prior meetings.
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost +0.07 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.76 vs actual lineup 4.69
- Player execution −1.69 R/G Players fell 1.69 short of the lineup's 4.69 projection (scored 3)
- Game variance −1.76 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Soler 0-for-4 batting 4th
- Manager lineup cost −0.01 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.48 vs actual lineup 3.49
- Player execution +3.51 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 3.49 projection by 3.51 (scored 7)
- Game variance +3.52 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Stewart 0-for-3 batting 4th
Optimal lineups projected 4.8 – 3.5 — actual was 3 – 7.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.