Pittsburgh Pirates vs Chicago Cubs
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Nick Yorke 3B
- 2 Ryan O'Hearn 1B
- 3 Bryan Reynolds LF
- 4 Marcell Ozuna DH
- 5 Nick Gonzales 2B
- 6 Oneil Cruz CF
- 7 Konnor Griffin SS
- 8 Joey Bart C
- 9 Billy Cook RF
- 1 Nico Hoerner 2B
- 2 Michael Busch 1B
- 3 Alex Bregman 3B
- 4 Ian Happ LF
- 5 Seiya Suzuki RF
- 6 Pete Crow-Armstrong CF
- 7 Carson Kelly C
- 8 Moisés Ballesteros DH
- 9 Dansby Swanson SS
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PIT | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| CHC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade C- / C entering this matchup.
Recent form
Season series: 2-1 with PIT listed first across 3 prior meetings.
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost +0.01 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.51 vs actual lineup 3.50
- Player execution −1.50 R/G Players fell 1.50 short of the lineup's 3.50 projection (scored 2)
- Game variance −1.51 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Yorke 0-for-4 batting 1st
- Manager lineup cost −0.05 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.04 vs actual lineup 4.09
- Player execution −4.09 R/G Players fell 4.09 short of the lineup's 4.09 projection (scored 0)
- Game variance −4.04 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Busch 0-for-5 batting 2nd
Optimal lineups projected 3.5 – 4.0 — actual was 2 – 0.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.