Washington Nationals vs Milwaukee Brewers
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 James Wood RF
- 2 Curtis Mead 1B
- 3 Daylen Lile LF
- 4 Brady House 3B
- 5 CJ Abrams SS
- 6 Joey Wiemer CF
- 7 Luis García Jr. DH
- 8 Jorbit Vivas 2B
- 9 Keibert Ruiz C
- 1 Brice Turang 2B
- 2 William Contreras C
- 3 Christian Yelich DH
- 4 Garrett Mitchell CF
- 5 Jake Bauers 1B
- 6 Luis Rengifo 3B
- 7 Sal Frelick RF
- 8 Blake Perkins LF
- 9 David Hamilton SS
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WSH | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 |
| MIL | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade C / B- entering this matchup.
Recent form
Season series: 4-2 with WSH listed first across 6 prior meetings.
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost −0.07 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.52 vs actual lineup 3.60
- Player execution +3.40 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 3.60 projection by 3.40 (scored 7)
- Game variance +3.48 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
House 0-for-3 batting 4th
- Manager lineup cost −0.06 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.25 vs actual lineup 4.31
- Player execution −1.31 R/G Players fell 1.31 short of the lineup's 4.31 projection (scored 3)
- Game variance −1.25 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Yelich 0-for-4 batting 3rd
Optimal lineups projected 3.5 – 4.3 — actual was 7 – 3.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.