Miami Marlins vs Detroit Tigers
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Jakob Marsee CF
- 2 Xavier Edwards 2B
- 3 Agustín Ramírez DH
- 4 Liam Hicks C
- 5 Otto Lopez SS
- 6 Owen Caissie RF
- 7 Connor Norby 1B
- 8 Graham Pauley 3B
- 9 Javier Sanoja LF
- 1 Kevin McGonigle SS
- 2 Gleyber Torres 2B
- 3 Colt Keith 3B
- 4 Riley Greene LF
- 5 Dillon Dingler C
- 6 Kerry Carpenter DH
- 7 Spencer Torkelson 1B
- 8 Wenceel Pérez RF
- 9 Javier Báez CF
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIA | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| DET | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade C+ / C- entering this matchup.
Recent form
Season series: 0-3 with MIA listed first across 3 prior meetings.
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost −0.02 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.86 vs actual lineup 3.88
- Player execution −3.88 R/G Players fell 3.88 short of the lineup's 3.88 projection (scored 0)
- Game variance −3.86 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Marsee 0-for-4 batting 1st
- Manager lineup cost +0.14 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.89 vs actual lineup 4.75
- Player execution −2.75 R/G Players fell 2.75 short of the lineup's 4.75 projection (scored 2)
- Game variance −2.89 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Báez HR from the 9-hole
Optimal lineups projected 3.9 – 4.9 — actual was 0 – 2.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.