Cleveland Guardians vs Atlanta Braves
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Steven Kwan CF
- 2 Chase DeLauter RF
- 3 José Ramírez 3B
- 4 Kyle Manzardo 1B
- 5 Rhys Hoskins DH
- 6 Juan Brito 2B
- 7 Bo Naylor C
- 8 Angel Martínez LF
- 9 Brayan Rocchio SS
- 1 Ronald Acuña RF
- 2 Drake Baldwin C
- 3 Matt Olson 1B
- 4 Austin Riley 3B
- 5 Mike Yastrzemski LF
- 6 Ozzie Albies 2B
- 7 Dominic Smith DH
- 8 Michael Harris CF
- 9 Mauricio Dubón SS
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLE | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5 |
| ATL | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 11 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade C+ / C+ entering this matchup.
Recent form
Season series: 1-2 with CLE listed first across 3 prior meetings.
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost +0.01 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 2.43 vs actual lineup 2.42
- Player execution +2.58 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 2.42 projection by 2.58 (scored 5)
- Game variance +2.57 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Ramírez 0-for-4 batting 3rd
- Manager lineup cost +0.01 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.88 vs actual lineup 4.87
- Player execution +6.13 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 4.87 projection by 6.13 (scored 11)
- Game variance +6.12 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
II HR from the 8-hole
Optimal lineups projected 2.4 – 4.9 — actual was 5 – 11.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.