Los Angeles Angels vs Cincinnati Reds
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Zach Neto SS
- 2 Mike Trout CF
- 3 Nolan Schanuel 1B
- 4 Jorge Soler DH
- 5 Yoán Moncada 3B
- 6 Jo Adell RF
- 7 Josh Lowe LF
- 8 Logan O'Hoppe C
- 9 Adam Frazier 2B
- 1 TJ Friedl CF
- 2 Matt McLain 2B
- 3 Elly De La Cruz SS
- 4 Sal Stewart 1B
- 5 Eugenio Suárez DH
- 6 Spencer Steer LF
- 7 Will Benson RF
- 8 Tyler Stephenson C
- 9 Ke'Bryan Hayes 3B
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAA | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 10 |
| CIN | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade C / B- entering this matchup.
Recent form
Season series: 2-1 with LAA listed first across 3 prior meetings.
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost +0.06 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.11 vs actual lineup 3.04
- Player execution +6.96 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 3.04 projection by 6.96 (scored 10)
- Game variance +6.89 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Lowe HR from the 7-hole
- Manager lineup cost +0.01 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.46 vs actual lineup 3.45
- Player execution −1.45 R/G Players fell 1.45 short of the lineup's 3.45 projection (scored 2)
- Game variance −1.46 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Friedl 0-for-4 batting 1st
Optimal lineups projected 3.1 – 3.5 — actual was 10 – 2.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.