Baltimore Orioles vs Chicago White Sox
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Gunnar Henderson SS
- 2 Taylor Ward LF
- 3 Adley Rutschman C
- 4 Pete Alonso DH
- 5 Tyler O'Neill RF
- 6 Ryan Mountcastle 1B
- 7 Dylan Beavers CF
- 8 Coby Mayo 3B
- 9 Blaze Alexander 2B
- 1 Chase Meidroth 2B
- 2 Munetaka Murakami 1B
- 3 Miguel Vargas DH
- 4 Colson Montgomery 3B
- 5 Andrew Benintendi LF
- 6 Dustin Harris RF
- 7 Luisangel Acuña SS
- 8 Reese McGuire C
- 9 Tristan Peters CF
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BAL | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 |
| CWS | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade C+ / D- entering this matchup.
Recent form
Season series: 1-0 with BAL listed first across 1 prior meeting.
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost +0.08 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.62 vs actual lineup 3.54
- Player execution +1.46 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 3.54 projection by 1.46 (scored 5)
- Game variance +1.38 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Rutschman 0-for-5 batting 3rd
- Manager lineup cost +0.20 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.89 vs actual lineup 4.69
- Player execution −1.69 R/G Players fell 1.69 short of the lineup's 4.69 projection (scored 3)
- Game variance −1.89 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Meidroth 0-for-4 batting 1st
Optimal lineups projected 3.6 – 4.9 — actual was 5 – 3.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.