St. Louis Cardinals vs Washington Nationals
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 JJ Wetherholt 2B
- 2 Iván Herrera C
- 3 Alec Burleson 1B
- 4 Jordan Walker RF
- 5 Nolan Gorman DH
- 6 Masyn Winn SS
- 7 Ramón Urías 3B
- 8 Thomas Saggese LF
- 9 Nathan Church CF
- 1 James Wood RF
- 2 Luis García Jr. 1B
- 3 Brady House 3B
- 4 Daylen Lile LF
- 5 CJ Abrams SS
- 6 Nasim Nuñez 2B
- 7 José Tena DH
- 8 Drew Millas C
- 9 Jacob Young CF
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| STL | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 |
| WSH | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade B- / C entering this matchup.
Recent form
Season series: 1-0 with STL listed first across 1 prior meeting.
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost +0.03 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.85 vs actual lineup 4.81
- Player execution +1.19 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 4.81 projection by 1.19 (scored 6)
- Game variance +1.15 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Wetherholt 0-for-4 batting 1st
- Manager lineup cost +0.00 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.18 vs actual lineup 3.18
- Player execution −2.18 R/G Players fell 2.18 short of the lineup's 3.18 projection (scored 1)
- Game variance −2.18 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Lile 0-for-3 batting 4th
Optimal lineups projected 4.8 – 3.2 — actual was 6 – 1.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.