Atlanta Braves vs Los Angeles Angels
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Ronald Acuña Jr. RF
- 2 Drake Baldwin DH
- 3 Ozzie Albies 2B
- 4 Matt Olson 1B
- 5 Austin Riley 3B
- 6 Mauricio Dubón SS
- 7 Mike Yastrzemski LF
- 8 Jonah Heim C
- 9 Michael Harris II CF
- 1 Zach Neto SS
- 2 Mike Trout CF
- 3 Nolan Schanuel 1B
- 4 Jorge Soler RF
- 5 Yoán Moncada 3B
- 6 Jo Adell DH
- 7 Josh Lowe LF
- 8 Logan O'Hoppe C
- 9 Oswald Peraza 2B
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATL | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 |
| LAA | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade C+ / C entering this matchup.
Recent form
Season series: 1-0 with ATL listed first across 1 prior meeting.
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost +0.01 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.13 vs actual lineup 4.12
- Player execution +3.88 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 4.12 projection by 3.88 (scored 8)
- Game variance +3.87 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Lineup spots out of order vs season production
- Manager lineup cost +0.03 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.72 vs actual lineup 3.69
- Player execution −1.69 R/G Players fell 1.69 short of the lineup's 3.69 projection (scored 2)
- Game variance −1.72 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Trout 0-for-4 batting 2nd
Optimal lineups projected 4.1 – 3.7 — actual was 8 – 2.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.