Houston Astros vs Colorado Rockies
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Jeremy Peña SS
- 2 Yordan Alvarez DH
- 3 Jose Altuve 2B
- 4 Isaac Paredes 3B
- 5 Christian Walker 1B
- 6 Cam Smith RF
- 7 Joey Loperfido LF
- 8 Jake Meyers CF
- 9 Christian Vázquez C
- 1 Edouard Julien 2B
- 2 Tyler Freeman DH
- 3 Mickey Moniak LF
- 4 Hunter Goodman C
- 5 TJ Rumfield 1B
- 6 Ezequiel Tovar SS
- 7 Troy Johnston RF
- 8 Brenton Doyle CF
- 9 Kyle Karros 3B
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HOU | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| COL | 1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade D+ / C entering this matchup.
Recent form
Season series: 2-2 with HOU listed first across 4 prior meetings.
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost +0.05 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.83 vs actual lineup 4.78
- Player execution −3.78 R/G Players fell 3.78 short of the lineup's 4.78 projection (scored 1)
- Game variance −3.83 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Paredes 0-for-3 batting 4th
- Manager lineup cost +0.01 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.76 vs actual lineup 4.76
- Player execution +4.24 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 4.76 projection by 4.24 (scored 9)
- Game variance +4.24 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Johnston 2-for-4 from the 7-hole
Optimal lineups projected 4.8 – 4.8 — actual was 1 – 9.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.