Philadelphia Phillies vs San Francisco Giants
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Trea Turner SS
- 2 Kyle Schwarber DH
- 3 Bryce Harper 1B
- 4 Adolis García RF
- 5 Edmundo Sosa 3B
- 6 J.T. Realmuto C
- 7 Otto Kemp LF
- 8 Dylan Moore 2B
- 9 Justin Crawford CF
- 1 Willy Adames SS
- 2 Matt Chapman 3B
- 3 Luis Arraez 2B
- 4 Heliot Ramos LF
- 5 Rafael Devers 1B
- 6 Casey Schmitt DH
- 7 Jerar Encarnacion RF
- 8 Daniel Susac C
- 9 Jared Oliva CF
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PHI | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| SF | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade C- / B- entering this matchup.
Recent form
Season series: 3-1 with PHI listed first across 5 prior meetings.
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost +0.11 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.27 vs actual lineup 3.16
- Player execution −3.16 R/G Players fell 3.16 short of the lineup's 3.16 projection (scored 0)
- Game variance −3.27 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
García 0-for-4 batting 4th
- Manager lineup cost +0.04 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 2.80 vs actual lineup 2.76
- Player execution +3.24 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 2.76 projection by 3.24 (scored 6)
- Game variance +3.20 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Susac 3-for-4 from the 8-hole
Optimal lineups projected 3.3 – 2.8 — actual was 0 – 6.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.