Kansas City Royals vs Cleveland Guardians
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Maikel Garcia 3B
- 2 Bobby Witt Jr. SS
- 3 Vinnie Pasquantino 1B
- 4 Salvador Perez C
- 5 Carter Jensen DH
- 6 Jonathan India 2B
- 7 Jac Caglianone RF
- 8 Isaac Collins LF
- 9 Kyle Isbel CF
- 1 Steven Kwan CF
- 2 Chase DeLauter RF
- 3 José Ramírez 3B
- 4 Kyle Manzardo 1B
- 5 Rhys Hoskins DH
- 6 Bo Naylor C
- 7 CJ Kayfus LF
- 8 Gabriel Arias SS
- 9 Brayan Rocchio 2B
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 |
| CLE | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade C / C+ entering this matchup.
Recent form
Season series: 2-3 with KC listed first across 5 prior meetings.
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost +0.06 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.36 vs actual lineup 4.30
- Player execution −0.30 R/G Players fell 0.30 short of the lineup's 4.30 projection (scored 4)
- Game variance −0.36 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Perez 0-for-4 batting 4th
- Manager lineup cost +0.02 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.49 vs actual lineup 3.47
- Player execution −1.47 R/G Players fell 1.47 short of the lineup's 3.47 projection (scored 2)
- Game variance −1.49 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Rocchio HR from the 9-hole
Optimal lineups projected 4.4 – 3.5 — actual was 4 – 2.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.