Tampa Bay Rays vs Minnesota Twins
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Yandy Díaz DH
- 2 Jonathan Aranda 1B
- 3 Chandler Simpson LF
- 4 Junior Caminero 3B
- 5 Cedric Mullins CF
- 6 Ben Williamson SS
- 7 Richie Palacios 2B
- 8 Jonny DeLuca RF
- 9 Hunter Feduccia C
- 1 Kody Clemens 1B
- 2 Byron Buxton DH
- 3 Luke Keaschall 2B
- 4 Matt Wallner RF
- 5 Ryan Jeffers C
- 6 Trevor Larnach LF
- 7 Austin Martin CF
- 8 Tristan Gray 3B
- 9 Brooks Lee SS
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TB | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 |
| MIN | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade B- / B entering this matchup.
Recent form
Season series: 3-0 with TB listed first across 3 prior meetings.
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost −0.10 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.72 vs actual lineup 4.82
- Player execution −0.82 R/G Players fell 0.82 short of the lineup's 4.82 projection (scored 4)
- Game variance −0.72 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Palacios HR from the 7-hole
- Manager lineup cost −0.04 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 2.41 vs actual lineup 2.44
- Player execution −1.44 R/G Players fell 1.44 short of the lineup's 2.44 projection (scored 1)
- Game variance −1.41 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Clemens 0-for-4 batting 1st
Optimal lineups projected 4.7 – 2.4 — actual was 4 – 1.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.