Philadelphia Phillies vs Colorado Rockies
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Trea Turner SS
- 2 Kyle Schwarber DH
- 3 Bryce Harper 1B
- 4 Alec Bohm 3B
- 5 Bryson Stott 2B
- 6 Adolis García RF
- 7 Brandon Marsh LF
- 8 Rafael Marchán C
- 9 Justin Crawford CF
- 1 Troy Johnston 1B
- 2 Ezequiel Tovar SS
- 3 Mickey Moniak RF
- 4 Hunter Goodman C
- 5 TJ Rumfield DH
- 6 Willi Castro 3B
- 7 Jordan Beck LF
- 8 Jake McCarthy CF
- 9 Edouard Julien 2B
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PHI | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| COL | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade C- / C entering this matchup.
Recent form
Season series: 0-1 with PHI listed first across 1 prior meeting.
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost −0.02 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.27 vs actual lineup 3.29
- Player execution −2.29 R/G Players fell 2.29 short of the lineup's 3.29 projection (scored 1)
- Game variance −2.27 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Schwarber 0-for-3 batting 2nd
- Manager lineup cost +0.02 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.72 vs actual lineup 4.71
- Player execution −0.71 R/G Players fell 0.71 short of the lineup's 4.71 projection (scored 4)
- Game variance −0.72 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Johnston 0-for-4 batting 1st
Optimal lineups projected 3.3 – 4.7 — actual was 1 – 4.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.