Cincinnati Reds vs Texas Rangers
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 TJ Friedl CF
- 2 Matt McLain 2B
- 3 Elly De La Cruz SS
- 4 Sal Stewart 1B
- 5 Eugenio Suárez 3B
- 6 Nathaniel Lowe DH
- 7 Spencer Steer LF
- 8 Will Benson RF
- 9 Jose Trevino C
- 1 Brandon Nimmo RF
- 2 Wyatt Langford LF
- 3 Corey Seager SS
- 4 Jake Burger 1B
- 5 Joc Pederson DH
- 6 Josh Smith 2B
- 7 Josh Jung 3B
- 8 Evan Carter CF
- 9 Danny Jansen C
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CIN | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| TEX | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade B- / B- entering this matchup.
Recent form
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost +0.04 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.47 vs actual lineup 3.43
- Player execution −1.43 R/G Players fell 1.43 short of the lineup's 3.43 projection (scored 2)
- Game variance −1.47 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Friedl 0-for-4 batting 1st
- Manager lineup cost −0.01 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.47 vs actual lineup 3.47
- Player execution −3.47 R/G Players fell 3.47 short of the lineup's 3.47 projection (scored 0)
- Game variance −3.47 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Nimmo 0-for-3 batting 1st
Optimal lineups projected 3.5 – 3.5 — actual was 2 – 0.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.