Philadelphia Phillies vs Colorado Rockies
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Trea Turner SS
- 2 Kyle Schwarber DH
- 3 Bryce Harper 1B
- 4 Alec Bohm 3B
- 5 Bryson Stott 2B
- 6 Adolis García RF
- 7 Brandon Marsh LF
- 8 J.T. Realmuto C
- 9 Justin Crawford CF
- 1 Tyler Freeman RF
- 2 Brenton Doyle CF
- 3 Hunter Goodman DH
- 4 Ezequiel Tovar SS
- 5 Jordan Beck LF
- 6 Willi Castro 2B
- 7 Troy Johnston 1B
- 8 Kyle Karros 3B
- 9 Brett Sullivan C
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PHI | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| COL | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade C- / C entering this matchup.
Recent form
Season series: 0-1 with PHI listed first across 1 prior meeting.
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost +0.01 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 2.85 vs actual lineup 2.84
- Player execution −0.84 R/G Players fell 0.84 short of the lineup's 2.84 projection (scored 2)
- Game variance −0.85 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Harper 0-for-4 batting 3rd
- Manager lineup cost +0.01 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.72 vs actual lineup 4.71
- Player execution −3.71 R/G Players fell 3.71 short of the lineup's 4.71 projection (scored 1)
- Game variance −3.72 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Goodman 0-for-4 batting 3rd
Optimal lineups projected 2.9 – 4.7 — actual was 2 – 1.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.