Milwaukee Brewers vs Kansas City Royals
Starting pitchers
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIL | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| KC | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade B- / C entering this matchup.
Recent form
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost +0.02 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.04 vs actual lineup 3.02
- Player execution −1.02 R/G Players fell 1.02 short of the lineup's 3.02 projection (scored 2)
- Game variance −1.04 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Bauers 0-for-4 batting 4th
- Manager lineup cost −0.02 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.74 vs actual lineup 4.76
- Player execution +3.24 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 4.76 projection by 3.24 (scored 8)
- Game variance +3.26 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Jr. 0-for-4 batting 2nd
Optimal lineups projected 3.0 – 4.7 — actual was 2 – 8.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.