Atlanta Braves vs Arizona Diamondbacks
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Ronald Acuña Jr. RF
- 2 Drake Baldwin C
- 3 Matt Olson 1B
- 4 Austin Riley 3B
- 5 Mike Yastrzemski LF
- 6 Ozzie Albies 2B
- 7 Michael Harris II CF
- 8 Dominic Smith DH
- 9 Mauricio Dubón SS
- 1 Ketel Marte 2B
- 2 Corbin Carroll RF
- 3 Geraldo Perdomo SS
- 4 Gabriel Moreno C
- 5 Adrian Del Castillo DH
- 6 Nolan Arenado 3B
- 7 Jose Fernandez 1B
- 8 Alek Thomas CF
- 9 Jorge Barrosa LF
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATL | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| AZ | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade C+ / C- entering this matchup.
Recent form
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost −0.04 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.19 vs actual lineup 3.23
- Player execution −2.23 R/G Players fell 2.23 short of the lineup's 3.23 projection (scored 1)
- Game variance −2.19 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Jr. 0-for-3 batting 1st
- Manager lineup cost −0.07 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 2.80 vs actual lineup 2.86
- Player execution −0.86 R/G Players fell 0.86 short of the lineup's 2.86 projection (scored 2)
- Game variance −0.80 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Marte 0-for-3 batting 1st
Optimal lineups projected 3.2 – 2.8 — actual was 1 – 2.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.