Philadelphia Phillies vs Colorado Rockies
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Trea Turner SS
- 2 Kyle Schwarber DH
- 3 Bryce Harper 1B
- 4 Alec Bohm 3B
- 5 Bryson Stott 2B
- 6 Adolis García RF
- 7 Brandon Marsh LF
- 8 J.T. Realmuto C
- 9 Justin Crawford CF
- 1 Troy Johnston DH
- 2 Hunter Goodman C
- 3 Mickey Moniak RF
- 4 Ezequiel Tovar SS
- 5 TJ Rumfield 1B
- 6 Willi Castro 2B
- 7 Brenton Doyle CF
- 8 Jake McCarthy LF
- 9 Kyle Karros 3B
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PHI | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 |
| COL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade C- / C entering this matchup.
Recent form
Season series: 0-1 with PHI listed first across 1 prior meeting.
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost +0.17 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.96 vs actual lineup 4.79
- Player execution +5.21 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 4.79 projection by 5.21 (scored 10)
- Game variance +5.04 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Marsh HR from the 7-hole
- Manager lineup cost +0.08 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.74 vs actual lineup 4.66
- Player execution −3.66 R/G Players fell 3.66 short of the lineup's 4.66 projection (scored 1)
- Game variance −3.74 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Goodman 0-for-4 batting 2nd
Optimal lineups projected 5.0 – 4.7 — actual was 10 – 1.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.