Miami Marlins vs New York Yankees
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Jakob Marsee CF
- 2 Xavier Edwards 2B
- 3 Agustín Ramírez DH
- 4 Liam Hicks C
- 5 Otto Lopez SS
- 6 Owen Caissie RF
- 7 Connor Norby 1B
- 8 Griffin Conine LF
- 9 Graham Pauley 3B
- 1 Trent Grisham CF
- 2 Aaron Judge RF
- 3 Cody Bellinger LF
- 4 Ben Rice 1B
- 5 Giancarlo Stanton DH
- 6 Jazz Chisholm Jr. 2B
- 7 Austin Wells C
- 8 José Caballero SS
- 9 Ryan McMahon 3B
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIA | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| NYY | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade C+ / C+ entering this matchup.
Recent form
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost +0.00 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.17 vs actual lineup 3.17
- Player execution −1.17 R/G Players fell 1.17 short of the lineup's 3.17 projection (scored 2)
- Game variance −1.17 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Marsee 0-for-4 batting 1st
- Manager lineup cost −0.11 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.52 vs actual lineup 4.64
- Player execution +3.36 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 4.64 projection by 3.36 (scored 8)
- Game variance +3.48 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Lineup spots out of order vs season production
Optimal lineups projected 3.2 – 4.5 — actual was 2 – 8.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.