Seattle Mariners vs Los Angeles Angels
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Rob Refsnyder DH
- 2 Cal Raleigh C
- 3 Julio Rodríguez CF
- 4 Josh Naylor 1B
- 5 Randy Arozarena LF
- 6 Brendan Donovan 3B
- 7 J.P. Crawford SS
- 8 Victor Robles RF
- 9 Cole Young 2B
- 1 Zach Neto SS
- 2 Mike Trout CF
- 3 Nolan Schanuel 1B
- 4 Jorge Soler DH
- 5 Yoán Moncada 3B
- 6 Jo Adell RF
- 7 Josh Lowe LF
- 8 Logan O'Hoppe C
- 9 Oswald Peraza 2B
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SEA | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| LAA | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade B- / C entering this matchup.
Recent form
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost −0.07 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.13 vs actual lineup 4.20
- Player execution −1.20 R/G Players fell 1.20 short of the lineup's 4.20 projection (scored 3)
- Game variance −1.13 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Refsnyder 0-for-3 batting 1st
- Manager lineup cost +0.04 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.78 vs actual lineup 3.74
- Player execution −2.74 R/G Players fell 2.74 short of the lineup's 3.74 projection (scored 1)
- Game variance −2.78 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Neto 0-for-4 batting 1st
Optimal lineups projected 4.1 – 3.8 — actual was 3 – 1.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.