St. Louis Cardinals vs Detroit Tigers
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Masyn Winn SS
- 2 Iván Herrera C
- 3 Alec Burleson 1B
- 4 Ramón Urías 3B
- 5 Jordan Walker RF
- 6 Yohel Pozo DH
- 7 Thomas Saggese 2B
- 8 José Fermín LF
- 9 Victor Scott CF
- 1 Kevin McGonigle 3B
- 2 Gleyber Torres DH
- 3 Kerry Carpenter RF
- 4 Riley Greene LF
- 5 Dillon Dingler C
- 6 Zach McKinstry 2B
- 7 Spencer Torkelson 1B
- 8 Parker Meadows CF
- 9 Javier Báez SS
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| STL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| DET | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade B- / C- entering this matchup.
Recent form
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost +0.02 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.53 vs actual lineup 3.50
- Player execution −3.50 R/G Players fell 3.50 short of the lineup's 3.50 projection (scored 0)
- Game variance −3.53 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Lineup spots out of order vs season production
- Manager lineup cost +0.11 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.21 vs actual lineup 3.10
- Player execution +0.90 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 3.10 projection by 0.90 (scored 4)
- Game variance +0.79 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Báez 2-for-3 from the 9-hole
Optimal lineups projected 3.5 – 3.2 — actual was 0 – 4.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.