Houston Astros vs Oakland Athletics
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Jeremy Peña SS
- 2 Yordan Alvarez DH
- 3 Jose Altuve 2B
- 4 Carlos Correa 3B
- 5 Christian Walker 1B
- 6 Cam Smith RF
- 7 Jake Meyers CF
- 8 Yainer Diaz C
- 9 Brice Matthews LF
- 1 Nick Kurtz 1B
- 2 Shea Langeliers C
- 3 Tyler Soderstrom LF
- 4 Brent Rooker DH
- 5 Jacob Wilson SS
- 6 Lawrence Butler RF
- 7 Max Muncy 3B
- 8 Jeff McNeil 2B
- 9 Denzel Clarke CF
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HOU | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 |
| ATH | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade D+ / C- entering this matchup.
Recent form
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost +0.31 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.87 vs actual lineup 3.56
- Player execution +0.44 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 3.56 projection by 0.44 (scored 4)
- Game variance +0.13 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Vázquez 0-for-3 batting 2nd
- Manager lineup cost +0.03 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.96 vs actual lineup 4.93
- Player execution +6.07 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 4.93 projection by 6.07 (scored 11)
- Game variance +6.04 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Muncy HR from the 7-hole
Optimal lineups projected 3.9 – 5.0 — actual was 4 – 11.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.