Minnesota Twins vs Kansas City Royals
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Austin Martin LF
- 2 Byron Buxton CF
- 3 Luke Keaschall 2B
- 4 Matt Wallner RF
- 5 Ryan Jeffers C
- 6 Josh Bell DH
- 7 Victor Caratini 1B
- 8 Royce Lewis 3B
- 9 Brooks Lee SS
- 1 Maikel Garcia 3B
- 2 Bobby Witt Jr. SS
- 3 Vinnie Pasquantino 1B
- 4 Salvador Perez C
- 5 Carter Jensen DH
- 6 Jonathan India 2B
- 7 Jac Caglianone RF
- 8 Isaac Collins LF
- 9 Kyle Isbel CF
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIN | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9 |
| KC | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade B / C entering this matchup.
Recent form
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost +0.02 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.74 vs actual lineup 4.72
- Player execution +4.28 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 4.72 projection by 4.28 (scored 9)
- Game variance +4.26 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Lineup spots out of order vs season production
- Manager lineup cost +0.16 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.80 vs actual lineup 3.63
- Player execution +9.37 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 3.63 projection by 9.37 (scored 13)
- Game variance +9.20 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Isbel HR from the 9-hole
Optimal lineups projected 4.7 – 3.8 — actual was 9 – 13.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.