Cleveland Guardians vs Los Angeles Dodgers
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Steven Kwan LF
- 2 Angel Martínez RF
- 3 José Ramírez 3B
- 4 Kyle Manzardo DH
- 5 Rhys Hoskins 1B
- 6 Bo Naylor C
- 7 Daniel Schneemann CF
- 8 Gabriel Arias SS
- 9 Brayan Rocchio 2B
- 1 Shohei Ohtani DH
- 2 Kyle Tucker RF
- 3 Mookie Betts SS
- 4 Freddie Freeman 1B
- 5 Will Smith C
- 6 Max Muncy 3B
- 7 Teoscar Hernández LF
- 8 Andy Pages CF
- 9 Alex Freeland 2B
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLE | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 |
| LAD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade C+ / B entering this matchup.
Recent form
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost +0.04 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.11 vs actual lineup 3.07
- Player execution +0.93 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 3.07 projection by 0.93 (scored 4)
- Game variance +0.89 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Arias HR from the 8-hole
- Manager lineup cost −0.17 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.31 vs actual lineup 3.49
- Player execution −2.49 R/G Players fell 2.49 short of the lineup's 3.49 projection (scored 1)
- Game variance −2.31 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Ohtani 0-for-3 batting 1st
Optimal lineups projected 3.1 – 3.3 — actual was 4 – 1.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.