Los Angeles Angels vs Chicago Cubs
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Zach Neto SS
- 2 Mike Trout CF
- 3 Jo Adell RF
- 4 Jorge Soler DH
- 5 Yoán Moncada 3B
- 6 Oswald Peraza 2B
- 7 Jeimer Candelario 1B
- 8 Travis d'Arnaud C
- 9 Bryce Teodosio LF
- 1 Nico Hoerner 2B
- 2 Alex Bregman 3B
- 3 Ian Happ LF
- 4 Carson Kelly C
- 5 Michael Busch 1B
- 6 Dansby Swanson SS
- 7 Matt Shaw RF
- 8 Pete Crow-Armstrong CF
- 9 Miguel Amaya DH
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAA | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| CHC | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade C / C entering this matchup.
Recent form
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost +0.04 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.75 vs actual lineup 4.71
- Player execution −2.71 R/G Players fell 2.71 short of the lineup's 4.71 projection (scored 2)
- Game variance −2.75 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Trout 0-for-3 batting 2nd
- Manager lineup cost +0.00 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.80 vs actual lineup 4.81
- Player execution +1.19 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 4.81 projection by 1.19 (scored 6)
- Game variance +1.20 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Kelly 0-for-4 batting 4th
Optimal lineups projected 4.8 – 4.8 — actual was 2 – 6.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.