Washington Nationals vs Philadelphia Phillies
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 James Wood RF
- 2 Luis García Jr. 1B
- 3 CJ Abrams SS
- 4 Daylen Lile LF
- 5 Jorbit Vivas 3B
- 6 Keibert Ruiz C
- 7 José Tena DH
- 8 Joey Wiemer CF
- 9 Nasim Nuñez 2B
- 1 Trea Turner SS
- 2 Kyle Schwarber DH
- 3 Bryce Harper 1B
- 4 Alec Bohm 3B
- 5 Bryson Stott 2B
- 6 Adolis García RF
- 7 Brandon Marsh LF
- 8 J.T. Realmuto C
- 9 Justin Crawford CF
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WSH | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| PHI | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade C / C- entering this matchup.
Recent form
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost +0.01 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.86 vs actual lineup 4.85
- Player execution −2.85 R/G Players fell 2.85 short of the lineup's 4.85 projection (scored 2)
- Game variance −2.86 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Jr. 0-for-4 batting 2nd
- Manager lineup cost −0.02 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.94 vs actual lineup 4.95
- Player execution −1.95 R/G Players fell 1.95 short of the lineup's 4.95 projection (scored 3)
- Game variance −1.94 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Bohm 0-for-3 batting 4th
Optimal lineups projected 4.9 – 4.9 — actual was 2 – 3.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.