Colorado Rockies vs Toronto Blue Jays
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Jake McCarthy CF
- 2 Hunter Goodman C
- 3 Willi Castro 2B
- 4 Ezequiel Tovar SS
- 5 TJ Rumfield 1B
- 6 Troy Johnston RF
- 7 Jordan Beck LF
- 8 Kyle Karros 3B
- 9 Edouard Julien DH
- 1 George Springer DH
- 2 Jesús Sánchez LF
- 3 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 1B
- 4 Addison Barger RF
- 5 Alejandro Kirk C
- 6 Daulton Varsho CF
- 7 Kazuma Okamoto 3B
- 8 Ernie Clement 2B
- 9 Andrés Giménez SS
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| COL | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 14 |
| TOR | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 5 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade C / B entering this matchup.
Recent form
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost +0.07 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.73 vs actual lineup 3.65
- Player execution +10.35 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 3.65 projection by 10.35 (scored 14)
- Game variance +10.27 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Fulford HR from the 9-hole
- Manager lineup cost −0.07 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.01 vs actual lineup 3.08
- Player execution +1.92 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 3.08 projection by 1.92 (scored 5)
- Game variance +1.99 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Okamoto HR from the 7-hole
Optimal lineups projected 3.7 – 3.0 — actual was 14 – 5.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.